Real estate, the new mafia: How can we fix Pakistan’s housing market?


For the purpose of land for this scheme, government is eyeing state-owned land

That is a band-aid measure which would not address the endemic problem of exorbitant rates of real estate

Speculative investors are using real estate to park their capital and get massive returns on it

It has driven up prices for buyers who want to use the land to actually live in the houses they construct

As this write-up points out, existing housing prices far exceed median household income – according to the State Bank of Pakistan, the house price-to-income ratio in Pakistan is 20:1 compared to a global average of 5:1

And the lion’s share in property prices are of land prices that have risen by over 152% since 2012

What should be done then? Recently, during an interview to Bloomberg, Finance Minister Asad Umar hinted reviving the defunct wealth tax

Though wealth tax is considered regressive, we can pick and choose from the wealth basket and tax real estate to correct the market

The key to solving the real estate problem is property tax

We can fine-tune property tax laws to drive out speculative investors from the market

Under the legislation that I suggest, except for one house where he or she resides, a person would have to pay a high percentage of tax on all other residential property he/she holds

Let’s say 25% of the property value

A person who is using the property for commercial activities, including rental income, would be exempt from paying the property tax on those assets

The point of this tax is not to hurt land holdings for commercial activity but only to discourage the non-productive and speculative trading in real estate

This measure would discourage speculators from holding the much needed land and they would put those properties up for sale

Hence, increased supply of residential plots would result in a dip in prices that average households would be able to afford

The state has shown considerable spine when it initiated the drive for anti-encroachment

This should be replicated in enforcing the property tax as well

It is a tax levied on the value of property but the problem with valuation is that we are still stuck with abysmally low deputy commissioner-approved (DC) rates

For the purpose of federal and local taxes, DC rates are used to assess the value of the property which is much lower than the actual market value of the asset

The former government tried to solve the issue by determining property rates through the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR)

They abolished the scheme and introduced a buy-back option in which the FBR would be able to buy a property at double the rate at which it is declared

For example, a property’s market value is Rs50 million but it is declared at Rs5 million

FBR would be able to acquire that property by paying Rs10 million

The point of this legislation is to discourage under declaration

However, this scheme is bound to fail since the government is already cash strapped

How would it engage in a spending spree on property acquisition when almost all of the property is declared at DC rates which are much lower than the actual market rates? For the calculation of property tax, a value closer to the market rate should be assessed and that could be done by reviving FBR determined rates which were closer to market rates

This whole exercise should make holding of extra property costlier for speculators and this would not be possible without charging heavy tax on value close to the market value

That would make the cost of holding greater than the expected return

The suggested policy would have two advantages

First, it would result in tempering prices of the real estate in urban areas making it easier for middle income households to use their savings to construct houses

Second, it would free up the trapped capital in the real estate and increase domestic investments, which would pick up the economy

In the last five years, our gross domestic product (GDP) growth was bolstered by government spending

If we want our economy to grow, we would have to increase investments, that is spending by businesses

We could couple it by creating an ideal environment for businesses to flourish

Presently, we rank 136th on the Ease of Doing Business Index, and thus incentives for investments and disincentive for parking cash in the real estate would pump up the economy

The real estate mafia is quite strong and it would resist any measures that go against their vested interests, hence this policy will face a lot of backlash

However, this government has shown tough resolve through its anti-encroachment drive and anti-money laundering initiatives and it has shown that it means business

This policy would also prevent money laundering in the real estate sector which is home to a huge amount of laundered capital

Market correction is long overdue and if we want to solve our housing crisis and jumps-start economic growth through domestic investments, the government needs to concentrate on this measure



Date:07-Nov-2018 Reference:View Original Link